Survey of Traffic Travel-time Prediction Methods
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National Key Research and Development Program of China (2017YFB1200700); National Natural Science Foundation of China (61701007)

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    Abstract:

    Travel-time prediction can help implement advanced traveler information systems. In recent years, a variety of travel-time prediction methods have been developed. In this study, travel-time prediction methods are classified into two categories: model-driven and data-driven methods. Two common model-driven approaches are elaborated, namely queuing theory and cell transmission model. The data-driven methods are classified into parametric and non-parametric methods. Parametric methods include linear regression, autoregressive integrated moving average, and Kalman filtering. Non-parametric methods contain neural networks, support vector regression, nearest neighbors, and ensemble learning methods. Existing travel-time prediction methods are analyzed and concluded from source data, prediction range, accuracy, advantages, disadvantages, and application scenarios. Several solutions are proposed for some shortcomings of existing methods. A novel data preprocessing framework and a travel-time prediction model are presented, and future research challenges are highlighted.

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柏梦婷,林杨欣,马萌,王平.行程时间预测方法研究.软件学报,2020,31(12):3753-3771

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History
  • Received:November 03,2018
  • Revised:May 08,2019
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  • Online: December 03,2020
  • Published: December 06,2020
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