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    Abstract:

    As an increasing number of users access information on the Web, there is a great opportunity to learn about the users?probable actions in the future from the server logs. In this paper, an n-gram based model is presented to utilize path profiles of users from very large data sets to predict the users?future requests. Since this is a prediction system, the recall cannot be measured in a traditional sense. Therefore, the notion of applicability is presented to give a measure of the ability to predict the next document.The new model is based on a simple extension of existing point-based models for such predictions,but the results show that by sacrificing the applicability somewhat one can gin a great deal in prediction precision.The result can potentially be applied to awide range of applications on the Web,including pre-sending,pre-fetching,enhancement of recommendation systems as well as Web caching po;icies.The tests are based on three realistic Web logs.The new algorithm shows a marked improvement in precision and applicability over previous approaches.

    Reference
    [1] Lee, K.F., Mahajan, S. Automatic Speech Recognition: the Development of the SPHINX System. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Kluwer, 1989
    [2] Joachims, T., Freitag, D., Mitchell, T. WebWatch: a tour guild for the World Wide Web. In: Proceedings of the 15th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI'97. 1997. 770~775.
    [3] Lieberman, H. Letizia: an agent that assists Web browsing. In: Proceedings of the 14th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI'95. 1995. 924~929.
    [4] Albrecht, D.W., Zukerman, I., Nicholson, A.E. Pre-Sending documents on the WWW: a comparative study. In: Proceedings of the 16th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI'99. 1999.
    [5] Zukerman, I., Albrecht. W., Nicholson, A. Predicting user's request on the WWW. In: Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on User Modeling, UM'99. 1999.
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苏中,马少平,杨强,张宏江.基于Web-Log Mining的N元预测模型.软件学报,2002,13(1):136-141

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History
  • Received:April 03,2000
  • Revised:July 20,2000
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